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UEFA Conference League

Jablonec vs Rigas Futbola skola: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Jablonec JablonecvsRigas Futbola skola Rigas Futbola skola
Our predictionJablonec to win
Model score: High · 81/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Jablonec at 64%. The model leans toward Jablonec. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · JablonecDraw2 · Rigas Futbola skola
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Jablonec
78
Rigas Futbola skola
46

Expected goals

2.56Jablonec
xG
0.77Rigas Futbola skola
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams to score49%

Recent form

JablonecWWLW
Rigas Futbola skolaDWWWW

Most likely scorelines

2-011.7%
3-010.0%
1-09.2%
2-19.0%
3-17.7%
1-17.0%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Jablonec Rigas Futbola skola

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Jablonec win1.49Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0431
1973
21293
31083
4652
533

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Jablonec1.49+0.3%
BTTSNo1.83+0.0%
BTTSYes1.87-0.0%
1X2Rigas Futbola skola6.75-0.1%
1X2Draw4.30-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Jablonec at 64%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Rigas Futbola skola at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Jablonec. Jablonec is priced at 1.488. The draw is priced at 4.3. Rigas Futbola skola is priced at 6.75.

Jablonec have 3 wins in their last 4 matches. Jablonec are on 2 wins in a row. Rigas Futbola skola have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 65% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Jablonec or Rigas Futbola skola?

Our model rates Jablonec as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Jablonec vs Rigas Futbola skola?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.