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UEFA Conference League

Brann vs Apollon Limassol: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Brann BrannvsApollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
Our predictionBrann to win
Model score: High · 61/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Brann at 52%. The model leans toward Brann. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · BrannDraw2 · Apollon Limassol
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.86+12.0%
1X2Brann1.83+0.4%
1X2Apollon Limassol4.36-0.2%
1X2Draw3.58-0.2%
BTTSNo1.84-12.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.38Brann
xG
1.14Apollon Limassol
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score62%
Team strength rating
Brann
67
Apollon Limassol
52

Most likely scorelines

2-19.6%
2-08.4%
1-18.0%
3-17.6%
1-07.0%
3-06.6%

Recent form

BrannWLDWW
Apollon LimassolWWL

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Brann Apollon Limassol

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Brann win1.83Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0332
17852
281052
37842
4443
5221

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Brann at 52%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Apollon Limassol at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market leans toward Brann. Brann is priced at 1.835. The draw is priced at 3.58. Apollon Limassol is priced at 4.36.

Brann have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Apollon Limassol have 2 wins in their last 3 matches. Apollon Limassol are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 62% for both teams to score. The model gives 68% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Brann or Apollon Limassol?

Our model rates Brann as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Brann vs Apollon Limassol?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.