Ajax vs Shelbourne: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ajaxvs
ShelbourneThe model puts Ajax at 80%. The model leans toward Ajax. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Shelbourne have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ajax is priced at 1.19.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 20 | 6 | ||||
| 2 | 20 | 6 | ||||
| 3 | 14 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ajax at 80%. The model puts the draw at 13%. The model puts Shelbourne at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Ajax. Ajax is priced at 1.19. The draw is priced at 7. Shelbourne is priced at 14.
Shelbourne have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 22% for both teams to score. The model gives 41% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ajax or Shelbourne?
Our model rates Ajax as the most likely outcome at 80% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ajax vs Shelbourne?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.