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UEFA Conference League

CFR Cluj vs Tromso: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

CFR Cluj CFR ClujvsTromso Tromso
Our predictionCFR Cluj to win
Model score: Low · 34/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts CFR Cluj at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · CFR ClujDraw2 · Tromso
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.79+7.8%
1X2CFR Cluj2.67+3.2%
1X2Draw3.28-1.4%
1X2Tromso2.66-1.8%
BTTSNo1.92-7.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.63CFR Cluj
xG
1.34Tromso
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score59%
Team strength rating
CFR Cluj
63
Tromso
45

Most likely scorelines

1-111.2%
2-19.1%
1-08.3%
1-27.5%
0-16.8%
2-06.8%

Recent form

CFR ClujWWDDD
TromsoLLWWD

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
CFR Cluj Tromso

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2CFR Cluj win2.67Fair (+3.2%)
Double chanceCFR Cluj or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
05752
1811831
27963
34531
4221
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts CFR Cluj at 39%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Tromso at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. CFR Cluj is priced at 2.675. The draw is priced at 3.28. Tromso is priced at 2.664.

CFR Cluj have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. CFR Cluj are on 2 wins in a row. Tromso have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 59% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, CFR Cluj or Tromso?

Our model rates CFR Cluj as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for CFR Cluj vs Tromso?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.