Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Yokohama F. Marinosvs
Kashima AntlersThe model puts Kashima Antlers at 49%. The model leans toward Kashima Antlers. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Kashima Antlers (2-0-4).
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Yokohama F. Marinos have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kashima Antlers have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Yokohama F. Marinos have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kashima Antlers is priced at 1.984.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Yokohama F. Marinos at 25%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Kashima Antlers at 49%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Kashima Antlers. Yokohama F. Marinos is priced at 3.78. The draw is priced at 3.5. Kashima Antlers is priced at 1.984.
Yokohama F. Marinos have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Kashima Antlers have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Yokohama F. Marinos have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kashima Antlers have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Kashima Antlers are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Yokohama F. Marinos or Kashima Antlers?
Our model rates Kashima Antlers as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Yokohama F. Marinos wins, 0 draws, 4 Kashima Antlers wins.
League table
Japan. J-League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mito HollyHock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Cerezo Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Tokyo Verdy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Kyoto Sanga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Nagoya Grampus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Shimizu S-Pulse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Vissel Kobe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Urawa Red Diamonds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Tokyo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kashima Antlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Gamba Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Fagiano Okayama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Machida Zelvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 |  V-Varen Nagasaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.