Twente vs DAC 1904: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Twentevs
DAC 1904The model puts Twente at 65%. The model leans toward Twente. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- DAC 1904 have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Twente is priced at 1.47.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 19 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Twente at 65%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts DAC 1904 at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Twente. Twente is priced at 1.47. The draw is priced at 4.5. DAC 1904 is priced at 6.6.
DAC 1904 have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 32% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Twente or DAC 1904?
Our model rates Twente as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Twente vs DAC 1904?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.