← All predictions
UEFA Conference League

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia 1948: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Panathinaikos PanathinaikosvsCSKA Sofia 1948 CSKA Sofia 1948
Our predictionPanathinaikos to win
Model score: High · 82/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Panathinaikos at 72%. The model leans toward Panathinaikos. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Our prediction missed (predicted: Panathinaikos · actual: Draw)

Win probabilities

1 · PanathinaikosDraw2 · CSKA Sofia 1948
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2CSKA Sofia 194812.00+3.4%
1X2Draw5.30-0.8%
1X2Panathinaikos1.27-2.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Panathinaikos
62
CSKA Sofia 1948
38

Recent form

PanathinaikosLLLDD
CSKA Sofia 1948DWLLW

Most likely scorelines

2-016.4%
1-015.0%
3-012.0%
2-18.1%
1-17.4%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.19Panathinaikos
xG
0.49CSKA Sofia 1948
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score34%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Panathinaikos CSKA Sofia 1948

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Panathinaikos win1.27Fair (-2.6%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
073
11572
21682
31261
473
531

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Panathinaikos at 72%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts CSKA Sofia 1948 at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Panathinaikos. Panathinaikos is priced at 1.275. The draw is priced at 5.3. CSKA Sofia 1948 is priced at 12.

CSKA Sofia 1948 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Panathinaikos have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. CSKA Sofia 1948 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 34% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Panathinaikos or CSKA Sofia 1948?

Our model rates Panathinaikos as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia 1948?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Panathinaikos wins, 0 draws, 1 CSKA Sofia 1948 wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.