Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito HollyHock: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kashiwa Reysolvs
Mito HollyHockThe model puts Kashiwa Reysol at 58%. The model leans toward Kashiwa Reysol. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kashiwa Reysol have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Mito HollyHock have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kashiwa Reysol have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Kashiwa Reysol is priced at 1.62.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Kashiwa Reysol at 58%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Mito HollyHock at 17%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Kashiwa Reysol. Kashiwa Reysol is priced at 1.62. The draw is priced at 3.88. Mito HollyHock is priced at 5.6.
Kashiwa Reysol have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Mito HollyHock have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Kashiwa Reysol have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Mito HollyHock have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Mito HollyHock are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kashiwa Reysol or Mito HollyHock?
Our model rates Kashiwa Reysol as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito HollyHock?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Kashiwa Reysol wins, 1 draws, 3 Mito HollyHock wins.
League table
Japan. J-League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mito HollyHock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Cerezo Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Tokyo Verdy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Kyoto Sanga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Nagoya Grampus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Shimizu S-Pulse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Vissel Kobe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Urawa Red Diamonds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Tokyo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Kashima Antlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Gamba Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Fagiano Okayama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Machida Zelvia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 |  V-Varen Nagasaki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.