Goteborg vs Gent: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Goteborgvs
GentThe model puts Goteborg at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Goteborg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gent have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Goteborg is priced at 2.405.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Goteborg at 40%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Gent at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Goteborg is priced at 2.405. The draw is priced at 3.52. Gent is priced at 2.83.
Goteborg have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Gent have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 71% for both teams to score. The model gives 72% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Goteborg or Gent?
Our model rates Goteborg as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Goteborg vs Gent?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.