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UEFA Conference League

Noah Yerevan vs Sion: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Noah Yerevan Noah YerevanvsSion Sion
Our predictionNoah Yerevan to win
Model score: Low · 26/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Noah Yerevan at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Noah YerevanDraw2 · Sion
Full team comparison

Expected goals

1.31Noah Yerevan
xG
1.16Sion
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score50%
Team strength rating
Noah Yerevan
52
Sion
55

Most likely scorelines

1-112.9%
1-011.1%
0-19.9%
0-08.5%
2-18.4%
1-27.5%

Recent form

Noah Yerevan
SionWLD

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Noah Yerevan Sion

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Noah Yerevan win2.65Fair (+0.6%)
Double chanceNoah Yerevan or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
081062
1111373
27852
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Noah Yerevan2.65+0.6%
1X2Draw3.34-0.3%
1X2Sion2.65-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Noah Yerevan at 36%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Sion at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Noah Yerevan is priced at 2.65. The draw is priced at 3.34. Sion is priced at 2.65.

Sion have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 45% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Noah Yerevan or Sion?

Our model rates Noah Yerevan as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Noah Yerevan vs Sion?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward a balanced game.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.