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UEFA Conference League

Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja LukavsML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk
Our predictionBorac Banja Luka to win
Model score: Medium · 42/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Borac Banja Luka at 53%. The model leans toward Borac Banja Luka. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Borac Banja LukaDraw2 · ML Vitebsk
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2ML Vitebsk4.78+2.3%
1X2Draw3.68-1.0%
1X2Borac Banja Luka1.74-1.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.18Borac Banja Luka
xG
1.04ML Vitebsk
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score57%
Team strength rating
Borac Banja Luka
63
ML Vitebsk
49

Most likely scorelines

2-19.9%
2-09.5%
1-19.0%
1-08.7%
3-17.2%
3-06.9%

Recent form

Borac Banja LukaDWLD
ML VitebskWDWLL

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Borac Banja Luka ML Vitebsk

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Borac Banja Luka win1.74Fair (-1.3%)
Double chanceBorac Banja Luka or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0442
19952
291052
37741
4442
522

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Borac Banja Luka at 53%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts ML Vitebsk at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market leans toward Borac Banja Luka. Borac Banja Luka is priced at 1.744. The draw is priced at 3.68. ML Vitebsk is priced at 4.78.

Borac Banja Luka have 1 wins in their last 4 matches. ML Vitebsk have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 57% for both teams to score. The model gives 63% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Borac Banja Luka or ML Vitebsk?

Our model rates Borac Banja Luka as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Borac Banja Luka vs ML Vitebsk?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.