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UEFA Conference League

Inter Turku vs Vaduz: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Inter Turku Inter TurkuvsVaduz Vaduz
Our predictionInter Turku to win
Model score: Medium · 43/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Inter Turku at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Inter TurkuDraw2 · Vaduz
Full team comparison

Expected goals

1.92Inter Turku
xG
1.37Vaduz
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score64%
Team strength rating
Inter Turku
60
Vaduz
55

Most likely scorelines

1-19.8%
2-19.4%
1-07.2%
2-06.9%
1-26.7%
2-26.4%

Recent form

Inter TurkuWLDDW
VaduzWLW

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Inter Turku Vaduz

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Inter Turku win2.25Fair (+0.5%)
Double chanceInter Turku or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
04532
1710731
279631
34642
4232
51

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Inter Turku2.25+0.5%
1X2Draw3.58-0.2%
1X2Vaduz3.04-0.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Inter Turku at 43%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Vaduz at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Inter Turku is priced at 2.245. The draw is priced at 3.58. Vaduz is priced at 3.045.

Inter Turku have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Vaduz have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 64% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Inter Turku or Vaduz?

Our model rates Inter Turku as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Inter Turku vs Vaduz?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.