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UEFA Conference League

Hibernian vs Skendija: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Hibernian HibernianvsSkendija Skendija
Our predictionHibernian to win
Model score: High · 68/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Hibernian at 62%. The model leans toward Hibernian. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · HibernianDraw2 · Skendija
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Hibernian
67
Skendija
49

Recent form

Hibernian
SkendijaWWLWW

Most likely scorelines

2-014.2%
1-014.1%
3-09.5%
2-19.2%
1-19.1%
0-07.0%

Expected goals

2.02Hibernian
xG
0.65Skendija
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score41%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Hibernian Skendija

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Hibernian win1.54Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0751
11493
21493
31062
4531
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Hibernian1.54+0.3%
1X2Skendija6.55-0.1%
1X2Draw3.98-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Hibernian at 62%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Skendija at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Hibernian. Hibernian is priced at 1.536. The draw is priced at 3.98. Skendija is priced at 6.55.

Skendija have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Skendija are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Hibernian or Skendija?

Our model rates Hibernian as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Hibernian vs Skendija?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward a balanced game.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.