Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori vs KF Drita: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts KF Drita at 63%. The model leans toward KF Drita. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- KF Drita have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- KF Drita is priced at 1.485.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori at 15%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts KF Drita at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward KF Drita. Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori is priced at 6.55. The draw is priced at 4.38. KF Drita is priced at 1.485.
KF Drita have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 32% for both teams to score. The model gives 31% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori or KF Drita?
Our model rates KF Drita as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori vs KF Drita?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.