Sheriff Tiraspol vs St. Gallen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sheriff Tiraspolvs
St. GallenThe model puts St. Gallen at 48%. The model leans toward St. Gallen. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sheriff Tiraspol have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- St. Gallen have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
- St. Gallen is priced at 1.98.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Sheriff Tiraspol at 27%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts St. Gallen at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward St. Gallen. Sheriff Tiraspol is priced at 3.6. The draw is priced at 3.7. St. Gallen is priced at 1.98.
Sheriff Tiraspol have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. St. Gallen have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sheriff Tiraspol or St. Gallen?
Our model rates St. Gallen as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sheriff Tiraspol vs St. Gallen?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.