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UEFA Conference League

Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Beitar Jerusalem Beitar JerusalemvsAustria Wien Austria Wien
Our predictionBeitar Jerusalem to win
Model score: Medium · 41/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts Beitar Jerusalem at 53%. The model leans toward Beitar Jerusalem. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Beitar JerusalemDraw2 · Austria Wien
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Austria Wien4.68+3.1%
1X2Draw3.74-1.2%
1X2Beitar Jerusalem1.74-1.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.69Beitar Jerusalem
xG
1.33Austria Wien
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams to score69%
Team strength rating
Beitar Jerusalem
61
Austria Wien
58

Most likely scorelines

2-18.6%
3-17.7%
2-06.5%
1-16.4%
3-05.8%
2-25.8%

Recent form

Beitar JerusalemDWLL
Austria WienWWW

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Beitar Jerusalem Austria Wien

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Beitar Jerusalem win1.74Fair (-1.8%)
Double chanceBeitar Jerusalem or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0222
15642
26963
36852
44532
5232

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Beitar Jerusalem at 53%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Austria Wien at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market leans toward Beitar Jerusalem. Beitar Jerusalem is priced at 1.744. The draw is priced at 3.74. Austria Wien is priced at 4.68.

Beitar Jerusalem have 1 wins in their last 4 matches. Austria Wien have 3 wins in their last 3 matches. Austria Wien are on 3 wins in a row.

The model gives 69% for both teams to score. The model gives 77% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Beitar Jerusalem or Austria Wien?

Our model rates Beitar Jerusalem as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.