Rijeka vs Ilves: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rijekavs
IlvesThe model puts Rijeka at 68%. The model leans toward Rijeka. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Ilves have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rijeka is priced at 1.4.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 19 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 5 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Rijeka at 68%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Ilves at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Rijeka. Rijeka is priced at 1.4. The draw is priced at 4.36. Ilves is priced at 8.9.
Ilves have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Ilves are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 29% for both teams to score. The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rijeka or Ilves?
Our model rates Rijeka as the most likely outcome at 68% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rijeka vs Ilves?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.