Partizan Belgrade vs Tobol Kostanay: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Partizan Belgradevs
Tobol KostanayThe model puts Partizan Belgrade at 69%. The model leans toward Partizan Belgrade. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Partizan Belgrade have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tobol Kostanay have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Partizan Belgrade is priced at 1.384.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 4 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Partizan Belgrade at 69%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Tobol Kostanay at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Partizan Belgrade. Partizan Belgrade is priced at 1.384. The draw is priced at 4.8. Tobol Kostanay is priced at 8.1.
Partizan Belgrade have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Partizan Belgrade are on 3 wins in a row. Tobol Kostanay have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Tobol Kostanay are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 61% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Partizan Belgrade or Tobol Kostanay?
Our model rates Partizan Belgrade as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Partizan Belgrade vs Tobol Kostanay?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.