RKS Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
RKS Radomiak Radomvs
Gornik ZabrzeThe model puts Gornik Zabrze at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- RKS Radomiak Radom have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gornik Zabrze have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- RKS Radomiak Radom have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Gornik Zabrze is priced at 2.37.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts RKS Radomiak Radom at 34%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Gornik Zabrze at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. RKS Radomiak Radom is priced at 2.787. The draw is priced at 3.42. Gornik Zabrze is priced at 2.37.
RKS Radomiak Radom have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Gornik Zabrze have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
RKS Radomiak Radom have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Gornik Zabrze have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, RKS Radomiak Radom or Gornik Zabrze?
Our model rates Gornik Zabrze as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for RKS Radomiak Radom vs Gornik Zabrze?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 RKS Radomiak Radom wins, 1 draws, 2 Gornik Zabrze wins.
League table
Poland. Ekstraklasa| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Legia Warsaw | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 |  Jagiellonia Bialystok | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Wisla PLock | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 5 |  Katowice | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 6 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Wisla Krakow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 9 |  Slask Wroclaw | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 10 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Piast Gliwice | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 12 | RKS Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Widzew Lodz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 14 |  Motor Lublin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 15 |  KS Cracovia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 16 |  Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Rakow Czestochowa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 18 |  Wieczysta Krakow | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.