Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Beitar Jerusalemvs
Austria WienThe model puts Beitar Jerusalem at 46%. The model leans toward Beitar Jerusalem. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Beitar Jerusalem have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Austria Wien have 3 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem is priced at 2.07.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Beitar Jerusalem at 46%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Austria Wien at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Beitar Jerusalem. Beitar Jerusalem is priced at 2.07. The draw is priced at 3.46. Austria Wien is priced at 3.56.
Beitar Jerusalem have 1 wins in their last 4 matches. Austria Wien have 3 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 66% for both teams to score. The model gives 69% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Beitar Jerusalem or Austria Wien?
Our model rates Beitar Jerusalem as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Wien?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.