Tobol Kostanay vs Partizan Belgrade: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tobol Kostanayvs
Partizan BelgradeThe model puts Partizan Belgrade at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Tobol Kostanay have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Partizan Belgrade have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tobol Kostanay have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Partizan Belgrade is priced at 2.175.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tobol Kostanay at 31%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Partizan Belgrade at 43%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Partizan Belgrade. Tobol Kostanay is priced at 3.175. The draw is priced at 3.6. Partizan Belgrade is priced at 2.175.
Tobol Kostanay have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Tobol Kostanay have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Partizan Belgrade have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tobol Kostanay or Partizan Belgrade?
Our model rates Partizan Belgrade as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tobol Kostanay vs Partizan Belgrade?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Tobol Kostanay wins, 0 draws, 0 Partizan Belgrade wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.