Nordsjaelland vs Valur: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nordsjaellandvs
ValurThe model puts Nordsjaelland at 90%. The model leans toward Nordsjaelland. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Nordsjaelland.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Nordsjaelland have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Valur have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nordsjaelland is priced at 1.06.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 18 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 11 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 6 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Nordsjaelland at 90%. The model puts the draw at 7%. The model puts Valur at 3%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Nordsjaelland. Nordsjaelland is priced at 1.06. The draw is priced at 12.5. Valur is priced at 28.
Valur have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Nordsjaelland have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Nordsjaelland are on 2 wins in a row. Valur have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nordsjaelland or Valur?
Our model rates Nordsjaelland as the most likely outcome at 90% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nordsjaelland vs Valur?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Nordsjaelland wins, 0 draws, 1 Valur wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.