Austria Wien vs Beitar Jerusalem: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Austria Wienvs
Beitar JerusalemThe model puts Austria Wien at 45%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Austria Wien.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Austria Wien have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Beitar Jerusalem have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Austria Wien is priced at 2.256.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Austria Wien at 45%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Beitar Jerusalem at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Austria Wien is priced at 2.256. The draw is priced at 3.66. Beitar Jerusalem is priced at 2.97.
Beitar Jerusalem have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Austria Wien have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Beitar Jerusalem have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Austria Wien or Beitar Jerusalem?
Our model rates Austria Wien as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Austria Wien vs Beitar Jerusalem?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Austria Wien wins, 0 draws, 1 Beitar Jerusalem wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.