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UEFA Conference League

Apollon Limassol vs Brann: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Apollon Limassol Apollon LimassolvsBrann Brann
Our predictionApollon Limassol to win
Model score: Medium · 47/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Apollon Limassol at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Apollon LimassolDraw2 · Brann
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Apollon Limassol2.40+2.6%
BTTSNo2.02+2.2%
1X2Draw3.30-1.2%
1X2Brann2.99-1.4%
BTTSYes1.71-2.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Apollon Limassol
58
Brann
42

Most likely scorelines

1-112.2%
1-011.2%
2-19.3%
2-08.5%
0-18.0%
0-07.3%

Recent form

Apollon LimassolWLLWD
BrannLLWDW

Expected goals

1.53Apollon Limassol
xG
1.09Brann
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Apollon Limassol Brann

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Apollon Limassol win2.40Fair (+2.6%)
Double chanceApollon Limassol or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07842
1111272
29952
3453
422
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Apollon Limassol at 42%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Brann at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market frames this as a close contest. Apollon Limassol is priced at 2.4. The draw is priced at 3.3. Brann is priced at 2.99.

Brann have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

Apollon Limassol have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Brann have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Apollon Limassol or Brann?

Our model rates Apollon Limassol as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Apollon Limassol vs Brann?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Apollon Limassol wins, 0 draws, 1 Brann wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.