CSKA Sofia 1948 vs Panathinaikos: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
CSKA Sofia 1948vs
PanathinaikosThe model puts Panathinaikos at 51%. The model leans toward Panathinaikos. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours CSKA Sofia 1948.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- CSKA Sofia 1948 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- CSKA Sofia 1948 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Panathinaikos is priced at 1.784.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts CSKA Sofia 1948 at 24%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Panathinaikos at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Panathinaikos. CSKA Sofia 1948 is priced at 4.54. The draw is priced at 3.66. Panathinaikos is priced at 1.784.
CSKA Sofia 1948 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
CSKA Sofia 1948 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Panathinaikos have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, CSKA Sofia 1948 or Panathinaikos?
Our model rates Panathinaikos as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for CSKA Sofia 1948 vs Panathinaikos?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 CSKA Sofia 1948 wins, 1 draws, 0 Panathinaikos wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.