Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Katowicevs
Hapoel Tel AvivThe model puts Katowice at 44%. The model leans toward Katowice. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Katowice.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Katowice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Katowice have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Katowice is priced at 2.09.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Katowice at 44%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Hapoel Tel Aviv at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Katowice. Katowice is priced at 2.09. The draw is priced at 3.36. Hapoel Tel Aviv is priced at 3.6.
Katowice have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Katowice have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Hapoel Tel Aviv have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Katowice or Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our model rates Katowice as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Katowice wins, 0 draws, 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.