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UEFA Conference League

DAC 1904 vs Twente: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

DAC 1904 DAC 1904vsTwente Twente
Our predictionTwente to win
Model score: High · 83/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Twente at 63%. The model leans toward Twente. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · DAC 1904Draw2 · Twente
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.01+10.4%
1X2Twente1.54+0.9%
1X2DAC 19045.85+0.1%
1X2Draw4.30-1.0%
BTTSYes1.72-10.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
DAC 1904
34
Twente
72

Recent form

DAC 1904LLDWW
TwenteWLWDL

Most likely scorelines

0-114.2%
0-212.9%
1-110.5%
1-29.4%
0-07.9%
0-37.7%

Expected goals

0.73DAC 1904
xG
1.81Twente
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score43%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
DAC 1904 Twente

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Twente win1.54Fair (+0.9%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
081413831
1610963
22432
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts DAC 1904 at 16%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Twente at 63%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Twente. DAC 1904 is priced at 5.85. The draw is priced at 4.3. Twente is priced at 1.536.

DAC 1904 have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

DAC 1904 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Twente have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, DAC 1904 or Twente?

Our model rates Twente as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for DAC 1904 vs Twente?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 1 DAC 1904 wins, 0 draws, 0 Twente wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.