Shelbourne vs Ajax: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Shelbournevs
AjaxThe model puts Ajax at 78%. The model leans toward Ajax. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Shelbourne.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Shelbourne have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ajax have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Shelbourne have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Ajax is priced at 1.168.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
| 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Shelbourne at 10%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Ajax at 78%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Ajax. Shelbourne is priced at 15. The draw is priced at 7.4. Ajax is priced at 1.168.
Shelbourne have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Shelbourne have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Ajax have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Shelbourne or Ajax?
Our model rates Ajax as the most likely outcome at 78% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Shelbourne vs Ajax?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Shelbourne wins, 0 draws, 0 Ajax wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.