Hammarby vs Rakow Czestochowa: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hammarbyvs
Rakow CzestochowaThe model puts Hammarby at 57%. The model leans toward Hammarby. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hammarby.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hammarby have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rakow Czestochowa have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hammarby is priced at 1.725.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hammarby at 57%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Rakow Czestochowa at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Hammarby. Hammarby is priced at 1.725. The draw is priced at 3.7. Rakow Czestochowa is priced at 4.92.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hammarby have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Rakow Czestochowa have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hammarby or Rakow Czestochowa?
Our model rates Hammarby as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hammarby vs Rakow Czestochowa?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Hammarby wins, 1 draws, 0 Rakow Czestochowa wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.