Hajduk Split vs VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hajduk Splitvs
VMFD Zalgiris VilniusThe model puts Hajduk Split at 76%. The model leans toward Hajduk Split. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Hajduk Split.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hajduk Split have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hajduk Split is priced at 1.275.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hajduk Split at 76%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius at 9%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split is priced at 1.275. The draw is priced at 5.8. VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius is priced at 10.
VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Hajduk Split have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 30% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hajduk Split or VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius?
Our model rates Hajduk Split as the most likely outcome at 76% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hajduk Split vs VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Hajduk Split wins, 0 draws, 1 VMFD Zalgiris Vilnius wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.