St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
St. Gallenvs
Sheriff TiraspolThe model puts St. Gallen at 74%. The model leans toward St. Gallen. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours St. Gallen.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- St. Gallen have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sheriff Tiraspol have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- St. Gallen is priced at 1.296.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts St. Gallen at 74%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Sheriff Tiraspol at 9%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward St. Gallen. St. Gallen is priced at 1.296. The draw is priced at 5.5. Sheriff Tiraspol is priced at 10.
Sheriff Tiraspol have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
St. Gallen have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. St. Gallen are on 2 wins in a row. Sheriff Tiraspol have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 31% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, St. Gallen or Sheriff Tiraspol?
Our model rates St. Gallen as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 St. Gallen wins, 0 draws, 1 Sheriff Tiraspol wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.