KF Drita vs Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts KF Drita at 89%. The model leans toward KF Drita. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours KF Drita.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- KF Drita have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- KF Drita is priced at 1.08.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 18 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 11 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 6 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts KF Drita at 89%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori at 3%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward KF Drita. KF Drita is priced at 1.08. The draw is priced at 10.5. Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori is priced at 31.
Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
KF Drita have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. KF Drita are on 2 wins in a row. Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, KF Drita or Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori?
Our model rates KF Drita as the most likely outcome at 89% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for KF Drita vs Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 KF Drita wins, 0 draws, 1 Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.