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UEFA Conference League

KF Drita vs Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

KF Drita KF DritavsSocieta Polisportiva Tre Fiori Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori
Our predictionKF Drita to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts KF Drita at 89%. The model leans toward KF Drita. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · KF DritaDraw2 · Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.47+20.2%
1X2KF Drita1.08+0.6%
1X2Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori31.00-0.2%
1X2Draw10.50-0.5%
BTTSYes2.51-20.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
KF Drita
93
Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori
24

Recent form

KF DritaWWLWW
Societa Polisportiva Tre FioriLLDWD

Most likely scorelines

2-020.9%
3-017.6%
1-016.5%
4-011.2%
0-06.5%
5-05.7%

Expected goals

2.53KF Drita
xG
0.20Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score17%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
KF Drita Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2KF Drita win1.08Fair (+0.6%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
061
1163
2214
3184
4112
561

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts KF Drita at 89%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori at 3%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward KF Drita. KF Drita is priced at 1.08. The draw is priced at 10.5. Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori is priced at 31.

Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

KF Drita have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. KF Drita are on 2 wins in a row. Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 17% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, KF Drita or Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori?

Our model rates KF Drita as the most likely outcome at 89% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for KF Drita vs Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 KF Drita wins, 0 draws, 1 Societa Polisportiva Tre Fiori wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.