Gent vs Goteborg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Gentvs
GoteborgThe model puts Gent at 65%. The model leans toward Gent. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Gent.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Gent have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Goteborg have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gent is priced at 1.496.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Gent at 65%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Goteborg at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Gent. Gent is priced at 1.496. The draw is priced at 4.3. Goteborg is priced at 6.55.
Goteborg have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Gent have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Goteborg have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Gent or Goteborg?
Our model rates Gent as the most likely outcome at 65% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Gent vs Goteborg?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Gent wins, 0 draws, 1 Goteborg wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.