Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sporting Clube de Portugalvs
Vitoria GuimaraesThe model puts Sporting Clube de Portugal at 83%. The model leans toward Sporting Clube de Portugal. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Sporting Clube de Portugal.
- +The head-to-head record favours Sporting Clube de Portugal (11-2-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sporting Clube de Portugal have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vitoria Guimaraes have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sporting Clube de Portugal have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sporting Clube de Portugal is priced at 1.155.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 20 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 16 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 10 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sporting Clube de Portugal at 83%. The model puts the draw at 11%. The model puts Vitoria Guimaraes at 6%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Sporting Clube de Portugal. Sporting Clube de Portugal is priced at 1.155. The draw is priced at 8. Vitoria Guimaraes is priced at 15.
Sporting Clube de Portugal have won 11 of the head-to-head meetings. Vitoria Guimaraes have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sporting Clube de Portugal have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Vitoria Guimaraes have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 22% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sporting Clube de Portugal or Vitoria Guimaraes?
Our model rates Sporting Clube de Portugal as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 11 Sporting Clube de Portugal wins, 2 draws, 2 Vitoria Guimaraes wins.
League table
Campeonato de Portugal| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Marítimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 5 |  Estrela da Amadora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 |  Estoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 8 |  Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Nacional da Madeira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Academico de Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 |  Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.