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England. Southern Premier League. Central

Leamington vs Anstey Nomads: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Leamington LeamingtonvsAnstey Nomads Anstey Nomads
Our predictionLeamington to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Leamington at 53%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · LeamingtonDraw2 · Anstey Nomads
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.19+9.8%
1X2Leamington1.74+0.4%
1X2Anstey Nomads3.87-0.2%
1X2Draw3.72-0.2%
BTTSYes1.58-9.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Leamington
62
Anstey Nomads
44

Most likely scorelines

1-012.6%
2-011.1%
1-111.0%
2-19.7%
0-07.1%
3-06.6%

Expected goals

1.77Leamington
xG
0.87Anstey Nomads
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score48%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Leamington Anstey Nomads

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Leamington win1.74Fair
Double chanceLeamington or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0763
1131151
2111041
3762
4331
51

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Leamington at 53%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Anstey Nomads at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Leamington. Leamington is priced at 1.74. The draw is priced at 3.72. Anstey Nomads is priced at 3.87.

The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Leamington or Anstey Nomads?

Our model rates Leamington as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Leamington vs Anstey Nomads?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

4.083.482.872.261.65
Home 1.74 Draw 3.72 Away 3.87

League table

England. Southern Premier League. Central
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Real Bedford11004:23
2Bromsgrove11003:13
3Stourbridge11002:03
4Rushall Olympic11002:13
5Kettering Town11001:03
6Bury Town11001:03
7Redditch United10011:11
8Worcester City10011:11
9Leiston10011:11
10Stratford Town10011:11
11Leighton Town10011:11
12Peterborough Sports10011:11
13Anstey Nomads10011:11
14Racing Club Warwick10011:11
15Bishop's Stortford10010:01
16Banbury United10010:01
17Hitchin Town10101:20
18Halesowen Town10100:10
19Alvechurch10100:10
20Leamington10102:40
21Needham Market10101:30
22Stamford10100:20
Promotion - England. National League North Promotion - England. Southern Premier League. Central (Play-off: Round of 4) Promotion - England. Southern Premier League. Central (Play-off: Round of 8) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.