Peterborough Sports vs Real Bedford: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Peterborough Sportsvs
Real BedfordThe model puts Real Bedford at 40%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Real Bedford is priced at 2.23.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Peterborough Sports at 35%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Real Bedford at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Peterborough Sports is priced at 2.59. The draw is priced at 3.6. Real Bedford is priced at 2.23.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Peterborough Sports or Real Bedford?
Our model rates Real Bedford as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Peterborough Sports vs Real Bedford?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
League table
England. Southern Premier League. Central| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 |  Bromsgrove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Stourbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Rushall Olympic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Kettering Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Bury Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Redditch United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 |  Worcester City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Leiston | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Stratford Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Leighton Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 12 | Peterborough Sports | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 |  Anstey Nomads | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Racing Club Warwick | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 15 |  Bishop's Stortford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 16 |  Banbury United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 17 |  Hitchin Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 18 |  Halesowen Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 19 |  Alvechurch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 20 |  Leamington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 21 |  Needham Market | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.