Gosport Borough vs Hanworth Villa: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Gosport Boroughvs
Hanworth VillaThe model puts Hanworth Villa at 42%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hanworth Villa is priced at 2.14.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Gosport Borough at 32%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Hanworth Villa at 42%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Gosport Borough is priced at 2.917. The draw is priced at 3.44. Hanworth Villa is priced at 2.14.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Gosport Borough or Hanworth Villa?
Our model rates Hanworth Villa as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Gosport Borough vs Hanworth Villa?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Hanworth Villa make it count (Michael Harding (43')). It's 0–1 at this point.
Half-time score: Gosport Borough 0 – 1 Hanworth Villa.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (0–1)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–1)
League table
England. Southern Premier League. South| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Frome Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Chertsey Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 |  Uxbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 4 |  Plymouth Parkway | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 4 |
| 5 |  Hanwell Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 6 |  Bath City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Yate Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Hanworth Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Taunton Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 10 |  Sholing | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Poole Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Chichester City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Berkhamsted | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 14 |  Evesham United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 15 |  Bracknell Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 16 |  Chippenham Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 17 |  Malvern Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 18 | Gosport Borough | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 19 |  Gloucester City | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 20 |  Basingstoke Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:6 | 0 |
| 21 |  Wimborne Town | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 22 |  Havant & Waterlooville | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.