Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bath Cityvs
Plymouth ParkwayThe model puts Bath City at 56%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bath City is priced at 1.62.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bath City at 56%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Plymouth Parkway at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Bath City. Bath City is priced at 1.62. The draw is priced at 3.92. Plymouth Parkway is priced at 4.365.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bath City or Plymouth Parkway?
Our model rates Bath City as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Odds movement
League table
England. Southern Premier League. South| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Evesham United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Uxbridge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Frome Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Hanworth Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Berkhamsted | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bath City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Poole Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Yate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 10 |  Chertsey Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Hanwell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 12 |  Malvern Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 13 |  Sholing | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Chichester City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Gloucester City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Gosport Borough | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Basingstoke Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 18 |  Havant & Waterlooville | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 19 |  Chippenham Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 |  Wimborne Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 21 |  Taunton Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 22 |  Bracknell Town | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.