Academico de Viseu vs Santa Clara: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Academico de Viseuvs
Santa ClaraThe model puts Santa Clara at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Santa Clara.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Academico de Viseu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Santa Clara have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Academico de Viseu have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Santa Clara is priced at 2.55.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Academico de Viseu at 31%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Santa Clara at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Academico de Viseu is priced at 2.944. The draw is priced at 3.115. Santa Clara is priced at 2.55.
Academico de Viseu have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Santa Clara have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Academico de Viseu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Santa Clara have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Academico de Viseu or Santa Clara?
Our model rates Santa Clara as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Academico de Viseu vs Santa Clara?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 6 Academico de Viseu wins, 2 draws, 5 Santa Clara wins.
League table
Campeonato de Portugal| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Marítimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Sporting Clube de Portugal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 |  Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 |  Nacional da Madeira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Academico de Viseu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 |  Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Estrela da Amadora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 |  Estoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 13 |  Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 14 |  Benfica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 15 |  Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 |  Alverca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.