Braga vs Austria Wien: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bragavs
Austria WienThe model puts Braga at 74%. The model leans toward Braga. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Braga have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Austria Wien have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Braga is priced at 1.285.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 4 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Braga at 74%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Austria Wien at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Braga. Braga is priced at 1.285. The draw is priced at 5.75. Austria Wien is priced at 9.9.
Braga have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Austria Wien have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 59% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Braga or Austria Wien?
Our model rates Braga as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Braga vs Austria Wien?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.