Curzon Ashton vs Bamber Bridge: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Curzon Ashtonvs
Bamber BridgeThe model puts Curzon Ashton at 58%. The model leans toward Curzon Ashton. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Curzon Ashton.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Curzon Ashton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bamber Bridge have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Curzon Ashton is priced at 1.62.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Curzon Ashton at 58%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Bamber Bridge at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Curzon Ashton. Curzon Ashton is priced at 1.62. The draw is priced at 3.9. Bamber Bridge is priced at 4.4.
Bamber Bridge have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Curzon Ashton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Bamber Bridge have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Curzon Ashton or Bamber Bridge?
Our model rates Curzon Ashton as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Curzon Ashton vs Bamber Bridge?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Curzon Ashton wins, 0 draws, 1 Bamber Bridge wins.
Odds movement
League table
England. Northern Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 2 |  Warrington Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Bury | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 4 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Avro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 6 |  Alfreton Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 7 |  Ashton United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Whitby Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 9 |  Ilkeston | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 10 |  Redcar Athletic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Guiseley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 12 |  Emley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 13 |  Hyde United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 14 |  Rylands | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Curzon Ashton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 16 |  Lancaster City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Bamber Bridge | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:8 | 3 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 20 |  Workington | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 21 |  Quorn | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 22 |  United of Manchester | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:7 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.