Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lincoln Red Impsvs
LarneThe model puts Lincoln Red Imps at 47%. The model leans toward Lincoln Red Imps. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Lincoln Red Imps.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Lincoln Red Imps have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Larne have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lincoln Red Imps have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Lincoln Red Imps is priced at 2.125.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Lincoln Red Imps at 47%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Larne at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Lincoln Red Imps. Lincoln Red Imps is priced at 2.125. The draw is priced at 3.34. Larne is priced at 3.54.
Lincoln Red Imps have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Larne have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Lincoln Red Imps have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Larne have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lincoln Red Imps or Larne?
Our model rates Lincoln Red Imps as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lincoln Red Imps vs Larne?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 1 Lincoln Red Imps wins, 0 draws, 1 Larne wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.