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UEFA Conference League

Gornik Zabrze vs AS Monaco: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Gornik Zabrze Gornik ZabrzevsAS Monaco AS Monaco
Our predictionAS Monaco to win
Model score: Medium · 47/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts AS Monaco at 62%. The model leans toward AS Monaco. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Gornik ZabrzeDraw2 · AS Monaco
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.91+21.0%
1X2Gornik Zabrze5.40+0.7%
1X2Draw4.66-0.2%
1X2AS Monaco1.52-0.6%
BTTSYes1.80-21.0%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

0.55Gornik Zabrze
xG
1.26AS Monaco
Over 2.5 goals27%
Both teams to score30%
Team strength rating
Gornik Zabrze
48
AS Monaco
67

Most likely scorelines

0-120.6%
0-016.3%
0-213.0%
1-111.4%
1-09.0%
1-27.2%

Recent form

Gornik ZabrzeWDWLD
AS Monaco

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Gornik Zabrze AS Monaco

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2AS Monaco win1.52Fair (-0.6%)
Double chanceAS Monaco or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
016211352
191173
2232
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Gornik Zabrze at 18%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts AS Monaco at 62%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward AS Monaco. Gornik Zabrze is priced at 5.4. The draw is priced at 4.66. AS Monaco is priced at 1.525.

Gornik Zabrze have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 30% for both teams to score. The model gives 27% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Gornik Zabrze or AS Monaco?

Our model rates AS Monaco as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Gornik Zabrze vs AS Monaco?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.