Sion vs Ajax: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sionvs
AjaxThe model puts Ajax at 53%. The model leans toward Ajax. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Sion.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Sion have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ajax have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ajax is priced at 1.7.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sion at 26%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Ajax at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.
The market leans toward Ajax. Sion is priced at 4.2. The draw is priced at 4.4. Ajax is priced at 1.7.
Sion have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Sion are on 2 wins in a row. Ajax have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 70% for both teams to score. The model gives 74% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sion or Ajax?
Our model rates Ajax as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sion vs Ajax?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.