Getafe vs Partizan Belgrade: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Getafevs
Partizan BelgradeThe model puts Getafe at 75%. The model leans toward Getafe. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Partizan Belgrade have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Getafe is priced at 1.26.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 4 | ||||
| 1 | 21 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 20 | 6 | ||||
| 3 | 12 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 6 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Getafe at 75%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Partizan Belgrade at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Getafe. Getafe is priced at 1.26. The draw is priced at 5.4. Partizan Belgrade is priced at 13.
Partizan Belgrade have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 23% for both teams to score. The model gives 37% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Getafe or Partizan Belgrade?
Our model rates Getafe as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Getafe vs Partizan Belgrade?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.