Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Atalantavs
Hapoel Tel AvivThe model puts Atalanta at 84%. The model leans toward Atalanta. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Hapoel Tel Aviv have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atalanta is priced at 1.135.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 20 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 21 | 5 | ||||
| 3 | 15 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 8 | 2 | ||||
| 5 | 4 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Atalanta at 84%. The model puts the draw at 11%. The model puts Hapoel Tel Aviv at 5%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Atalanta. Atalanta is priced at 1.135. The draw is priced at 8.5. Hapoel Tel Aviv is priced at 18.
Hapoel Tel Aviv have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 19% for both teams to score. The model gives 43% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Atalanta or Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Our model rates Atalanta as the most likely outcome at 84% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.