Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Wien: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Heart of Midlothianvs
Rapid WienThe model puts Heart of Midlothian at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Rapid Wien.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Heart of Midlothian have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rapid Wien have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Heart of Midlothian is priced at 2.39.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Heart of Midlothian at 39%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Rapid Wien at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Heart of Midlothian is priced at 2.39. The draw is priced at 3.5. Rapid Wien is priced at 2.87.
Heart of Midlothian have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Rapid Wien have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Rapid Wien are on 5 wins in a row.
The model gives 75% for both teams to score. The model gives 77% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Heart of Midlothian or Rapid Wien?
Our model rates Heart of Midlothian as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Heart of Midlothian vs Rapid Wien?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.