Marítimo vs Academico de Viseu: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Marítimovs
Academico de ViseuThe model puts Marítimo at 46%. The model leans toward Marítimo. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Marítimo.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Marítimo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Academico de Viseu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Marítimo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Marítimo is priced at 2.12.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Marítimo at 46%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Academico de Viseu at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Marítimo. Marítimo is priced at 2.12. The draw is priced at 3.36. Academico de Viseu is priced at 3.52.
Marítimo have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Academico de Viseu have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Marítimo have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Academico de Viseu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Marítimo average 1 goals per game this season. Marítimo average 39% possession. Academico de Viseu average 2 goals per game this season. Academico de Viseu average 38% possession.
The model gives 56% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Marítimo or Academico de Viseu?
Our model rates Marítimo as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Marítimo vs Academico de Viseu?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings: 1 Marítimo wins, 4 draws, 2 Academico de Viseu wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Campeonato de Portugal| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Marítimo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Nacional da Madeira | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 5 |  Santa Clara | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 6 |  Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Estrela da Amadora | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 9 |  Benfica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 |  Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Academico de Viseu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 12 |  Famalicao | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 13 |  Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 14 |  Alverca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 15 |  Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 18 |  Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.