Spain. La Liga

Deportivo de A Coruna vs Elche: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Deportivo de A Corunavs

Elche

Our predictionDeportivo de A Coruna to win

Model score: Low · 28/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Deportivo de A Coruna at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Elche.
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
−Deportivo de A Coruna are dealing with notable absentees.
+Elche are dealing with notable absentees.

Win probabilities

1 · Deportivo de A Coruna42%Draw30%2 · Elche28%

1 · Deportivo de A CorunaDraw2 · Elche

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.93+3.5%

1X2Elche3.68+2.6%

1X2Draw3.09-1.2%

1X2Deportivo de A Coruna2.18-1.4%

BTTSNo1.80-3.5%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Deportivo de A CorunaLWDDW

ElcheWDDDW

Team strength rating

Deportivo de A Coruna

Elche

Most likely scorelines

1-112.1%

1-011.3%

2-19.4%

2-08.8%

0-17.8%

0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.55Deportivo de A Coruna

1.07Elche

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

Deportivo de A Coruna Elche

Key points

Deportivo de A Coruna have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Elche have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Deportivo de A Coruna have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
Deportivo de A Coruna will be without Asp Jensen, Carrillo, Hernandez Yer., Altimira A..
Elche will be without Boayar, Diangana G., Osorio, Santiago.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Deportivo de A Coruna win2.18Fair (-1.4%)

Double chanceDeportivo de A Coruna or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	8	4	1
1	11	12	6	2
2	9	9	5	2
3	5	5	3
4	2	2	1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Deportivo de A Coruna at 42%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Elche at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Deportivo de A Coruna. Deportivo de A Coruna is priced at 2.184. The draw is priced at 3.088. Elche is priced at 3.68.

Deportivo de A Coruna have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Elche have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.

Deportivo de A Coruna have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Elche have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Deportivo de A Coruna or Elche?

Our model rates Deportivo de A Coruna as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Deportivo de A Coruna vs Elche?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 13 meetings: 6 Deportivo de A Coruna wins, 2 draws, 5 Elche wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

Home 2.18 Draw 3.09 Away 3.68

Match statistics