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Northern Ireland. National Conference League. Premier Division

Ballymacash vs Knockbreda: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Ballymacash BallymacashvsKnockbreda Knockbreda
Our predictionBallymacash to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts Ballymacash at 69%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Our prediction was correct (predicted: Ballymacash · actual: Ballymacash)

Win probabilities

1 · BallymacashDraw2 · Knockbreda
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Ballymacash
72
Knockbreda
39

Most likely scorelines

2-015.5%
1-014.6%
3-010.9%
2-18.6%
1-18.1%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.12Ballymacash
xG
0.56Knockbreda
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score37%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Ballymacash Knockbreda

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Ballymacash win1.33Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0741
11582
21592
31162
463
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Ballymacash1.33+0.3%
1X2Knockbreda6.44-0.1%
1X2Draw5.40-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Ballymacash at 69%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Knockbreda at 14%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward Ballymacash. Ballymacash is priced at 1.33. The draw is priced at 5.4. Knockbreda is priced at 6.44.

The model gives 37% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Ballymacash or Knockbreda?

Our model rates Ballymacash as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Ballymacash vs Knockbreda?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.